#the colours universally agree to mess with wild. it's critically important

[idrawsometimes]

if you get what this is referencing without checking below the cut, you win a cookie!

meme this is referencing:

drawing without speech bubbles:

[kayla1993-world]

TORONTO -- This November, Americans will cast their ballots in what will definitely be the most watched election of the year.

Whether or not U.S. President Donald Trump can pull off a second win is far from certain. The Democratic race for president remains unusually crowded, and while it’s unlikely that the Republican-held Senate will vote to remove Trump from office, the results of the trial series are still technically undecided.

What is clear is that a second term for Trump would give the billionaire president another four years in the Oval Office – a time when many presidents focus on creating their political needs.

But what would that look like? And what would it mean for Canada?

CTVNews.ca spoke with many political scientists, marketers and Canada-U.S. relations experts to get a sense of what our country could expect if Trump wins re-election.

For certain businesses that depend on cross-border trade, a second term for Trump could lead to more wild prices.

Canada’s auto industry directly employs 125,000 workers and indirectly affects another 400,000 workers. Some of those jobs could be at risk thanks to Trump’s war with California over fuel energy standards, according to Werner Antweiler, a business professor at the University of British Columbia and an expert in international trade.

In hopes of making cars more energy effective and cutting back on gas eruptions, former U.S. president Barack Obama introduced measures that would have nearly doubled fuel energy for all vehicles by 2025. Trump competed on a plan to freeze those standards. But California — the country’s most populated  state — chose to follow through on Obama’s goals, a move that reminded  Trump to tweet that Henry Ford was “rolling over” in his grave.

This doubt leaves Canadian auto makers without help, Antweiler said, because they will be forced to choose which group to side with.

Then there is the Canadian wood industry, which was hit by steep taxes during Trump’s first year in office. The U.S. has charged Ottawa of unfairly giving payments to wood and then selling it to the U.S.

Canada has filed complaints under the World Trade Organization and NAFTA, but the issue remains unresolved, even under the newly agreed upon Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement, or CUSMA.

Fears of a dolwnturn have been on marketers’ lips since August, when markets reported a yield curve inversion. Every recession since 1957 has followed a yield curve conversion, which happens when the payout for 10-year bonds suddenly slips below the payout for two-year bonds — a situation that is basically the opposite of what happens in a well-functioning, healthy market.

Trump’s current trade war with China — pitting the world’s two biggest markets against each other — has only worsened those fears.

Interviewers didn’t forecast a win for Trump in 2016, and so his victory came as a surprise to many political experts.

If Trump were to win in 2020, the story would be different, according to Fan Lu, associate professor of political studies at Queen’s University.

As close neighbours, Canada and the U.S. share many related problems, but Lu expects conversations around migration will be especially heated if Trump wins again.

Since the Migration and Runaway Board of Canada started following irregular border crossers in February 2017, Canada has received 45,517 runaway claims as of June 2019. Of those, 9,069 have been accepted. Another 27,173 claims are not yet known, while 7,786 claims have been rejected.

If Trump is re-elected, Lu expects debate around illegal border crossings will “ramp up and become even more important.”

Lu’s research closely follows race in America. Trump has called Mexicans “rapists,” told four Congresswomen of colour to “go back home” and described a majority-black district in Baltimore as a “rat and rodent filled mess.”

Those sorts of comments only bolden people who hold racist views, Lu said, including “certain wings of Canada that would welcome” such behaviour.

Trump isn’t afraid to call out political leaders or foreign policies he doesn’t agree with. Not very long ago, he threatened to use Britain’s National Health Service as a trading tool in Brexit trade conversations.

Wayne Petrozzi, a professor retiree of politics from Ryerson University, suspects that Trump wouldn’t be afraid to then interfere in Canada.

On the chopping block, Petrozzi suggests, could be the Canadian health-care system or the drug industry, which sells drugs like insulin at a fraction of American prices thanks to the government’s involvement in controlling prices.

However, on access to low-cost drugs, it appears Trump is open to working with Canada. In mid-December, the Trump management said it meant to move ahead with a plan to allow Americans to import certain brand name drugs from Canada at cheaper prices.

The move was criticized by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s spokesperson, who pointed out that Trump has offered no deadline to put into use the plan.

If a Democrat pulls off a win in November, don’t expect Canada-U.S. relations to immediately get warmer.

In fact, depending on the Democrat, Canada could face completely new challenges, according to Craig Geoffrey, an associate professor who teaches classes on business finance at the University of Toronto.

Some candidates, such as Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, have fought on plans to control big banks. Many Canadian jobs — especially in Toronto — are closely tied to the market service industry, and if Sanders or Warren followed through on those promises, “that’s going to have a bad effect for employment in Canada,” Geoffrey said.